CAD outlook: Report predicts deficit to nearly double in FY26; projected at 1.2% of GDP
Union Bank of India projects India’s current account deficit (CAD) may nearly double to 1.2% of GDP in FY26 due to rising trade and geopolitical tensions. A widened merchandise trade deficit and the recent US tariff hikes on key sectors are major concerns. Resilient services exports and remittances offer some support, but persistent trade tensions pose a downside risk.🕒 1 min read
Union Bank of India projects India’s current account deficit (CAD) may nearly double to 1.2% of GDP in FY26 due to rising trade and geopolitical tensions. A widened merchandise trade deficit and the recent US tariff hikes on key sectors are major concerns. Resilient services exports and remittances offer some support, but persistent trade tensions pose a downside risk.
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